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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
7–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.7
11 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma
@
UConn
|
+4.3 | 141.6 | 72% | 59–67 | ✓ |
Xavier
@
Illinois
|
+5.4 | 161.8 | 73% | 73–86 | ✓ |
Bryant
@
Michigan State
|
+17.7 | 150.9 | 89% | 62–87 | ✓ |
Liberty
@
Oregon
|
+9.5 | 141.3 | 76% | 52–81 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Chattanooga
|
-1.1 | 150.9 | 42% | 72–87 | ✗ |
McNeese
@
Purdue
|
+7.6 | 135.7 | 77% | 62–76 | ✓ |
Bradley
@
George Mason
|
+4.2 | 132.8 | 63% | 75–67 | ✗ |
Arkansas
@
St. John's
|
+6.8 | 145.0 | 69% | 75–66 | ✗ |
Michigan
@
Texas A&M
|
+1.1 | 140.8 | 59% | 91–79 | ✗ |
Drake
@
Texas Tech
|
+8.3 | 131.3 | 75% | 64–77 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
Auburn
|
+11.2 | 150.1 | 86% | 70–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.