Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TA&M -155 MICH +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MICH +12 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -0.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+28.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -0.6 (-12.6) | 140.4 (+29.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | TA&M -1.1 (-13.1) | 140.8 (+29.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MICH -1.2 (-10.8) | 142.3 (+27.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -1.1 (-10.9) | 141.8 (+28.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 16.6 (#23) | 16.8 (#21) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.21 (#11) | 3.15 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.92 (#12) | 3.91 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#14) | 0.620 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 16.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 41.7% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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