Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MEM -110 CSU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +8 | 148 | Lost |
| Massey | CSU -0.3 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -0.4 (-8.4) | 144.4 (+3.6) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -0.8 (-7.2) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.3 (-7.7) | 142.3 (+5.7) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -0.1 (-8.1) | 144.4 (+3.6) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 27, 2021 | MEM 90 – 67 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 16-4 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-2 |
| Away | 11-2 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#54) | 11.5 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#12) | 2.12 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#20) | 2.64 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#6) | 0.572 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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