Betting Lines
| Spread | LUC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SJSU +150 LUC -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LUC +3 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | LUC -0.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -0.4 (-3.4) | 140.7 (+2.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LUC -1.6 (-1.4) | 140.4 (+2.6) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LUC -0.0 (-3.0) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJSU -0.0 (-3.0) | 140.2 (+2.8) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2025 | SJSU 63 – 51 LUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-20 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-9 | 17-1 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-6 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#169) | 2.8 (#122) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#178) | 0.89 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#181) | 1.09 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#246) | 0.533 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | LUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.