Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -1400 MONT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -17.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -13.8 (+5.2) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -14.0 (+5.0) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -13.8 (+5.2) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -13.6 (+5.4) | 147.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 17.7 (#16) | -0.1 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#16) | 0.90 (#96) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.87 (#14) | 0.74 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#22) | 0.572 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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