Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | BYU -130 VCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -1.6 (+7.4) | 142.5 (+8.5) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -1.5 (+7.5) | 142.8 (+8.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -1.4 (+7.6) | 141.2 (+9.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -2.1 (+6.9) | 142.9 (+8.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-5 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#21) | 13.7 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.62 (#31) | 2.04 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#36) | 2.76 (#44) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#54) | 0.582 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 44.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.