Then she opened up a book of poems and handed it to me, written by an Italian poet from the thirteenth century. "Tangled Up in Blue" - Bob Dylan
(2) Tennessee Volunteers
77 – 62
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(15) Wofford Terriers
Rupp Arena (Neutral) · March 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -18.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money TENN -2500 / WOF +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +15 139 Won
Massey TENN -19.9 (-4.9) — —
Massey Totals — 130.6 (+8.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TENN -15.9 (-0.9) 135.3 (+3.7) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TENN -14.9 (+0.1) 136.0 (+3.0) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TENN -16.2 (-1.2) 134.8 (+4.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML TENN -14.9 (+0.1) 136.3 (+2.7) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2023 TENN 82 – 61 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN WOF
Overall 30-8 19-16
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 16-1 7-6
Away 6-5 8-8
Neutral 8-2 4-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 73.1
Avg Pts Against 63.1 70.8
Massey 21.7 (#6) 1.8 (#132)
Bradley-Terry 4.26 (#3) 0.07 (#161)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.44 (#3) 0.25 (#147)
RPI 0.637 (#7) 0.534 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN WOF
FG% 45.5% 45.0%
3PT% 34.0% 34.5%
REB / G 36.6 37.1
OREB / G 11.5 12.2
AST / TO 1.48 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 53.3%
TOV% 16.1% 16.9%
ORB% 35.4% 35.5%
FT Rate 26.3% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.4% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.8%
DRB% 69.9% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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