We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
(2) Tennessee Volunteers
77 62
FINAL Neutral NCAA Tournament
(15) Wofford Terriers
Rupp Arena (Neutral) · March 20, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread TENN -18.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money TENN -2500 / WOF +1100
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +15 139 Won
Massey TENN -19.9 (-4.9)
Massey Totals 130.6 (+8.4)
Bradley-Terry 98%
Weighted B-T 99%
Baseline Plus ML TENN -19.6 (-4.6) 136.0 (+3.0) 90%
Model 4 ML TENN -17.5 (-2.5) 139.0 (+0.0) 89%
Model 3 ML TENN -19.2 (-4.2) 135.0 (+4.0) 90%
Baseline ML TENN -18.1 (-3.1) 136.1 (+2.9) 90%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 14, 2023 TENN 8261 WOF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN WOF
Overall 30-8 19-16
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 16-1 7-6
Away 6-5 8-8
Neutral 8-2 4-2
Last 5 3-2 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.0 73.1
Avg Pts Against 63.1 70.8
Massey 21.7 (#6) 1.8 (#132)
Bradley-Terry 4.26 (#3) 0.07 (#161)
W. Bradley-Terry 5.44 (#3) 0.25 (#147)
RPI 0.637 (#7) 0.534 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN WOF
FG% 45.5% 45.0%
3PT% 34.0% 34.5%
REB / G 36.6 37.1
OREB / G 11.5 12.2
AST / TO 1.48 1.30
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.8% 53.3%
TOV% 16.1% 16.9%
ORB% 35.4% 35.5%
FT Rate 26.3% 20.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.4% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 14.8%
DRB% 69.9% 73.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.8% 25.1%

Game Analysis

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