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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 12.5
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chattanooga
@
Middle Tennessee
|
+2.1 | 150.0 | 56% | 109–103 | ✗ |
Saint Louis
@
Arkansas State
|
+6.0 | 153.7 | 77% | 78–103 | ✓ |
Wichita State
@
Oklahoma State
|
+6.7 | 146.5 | 72% | 79–89 | ✓ |
North Carolina
@
San Diego State
|
-2.5 | 138.6 | 31% | 95–68 | ✓ |
UC Riverside
@
Santa Clara
|
+13.1 | 159.5 | 86% | 62–101 | ✓ |
Cal State Northridge
@
Stanford
|
+6.5 | 145.5 | 74% | 70–87 | ✓ |
Mount St. Mary's
@
American University
|
-0.2 | 129.9 | 53% | 83–72 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Saint Joseph's
|
+5.9 | 154.4 | 65% | 69–65 | ✗ |
Samford
@
George Mason
|
+7.0 | 148.1 | 76% | 69–86 | ✓ |
Florida Atlantic
@
Dayton
|
+4.3 | 146.9 | 69% | 79–86 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.