Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
Gallagher-Iba Arena · March 19, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OKST -6.5 Home covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money OKST -290 / WICH +240
Model Predictions
Spread Total OKST win
Actual OKST +10 168 Won
Massey OKST -5.7 (+4.3)
Massey Totals 150.6 (+17.4)
Bradley-Terry 77%
Weighted B-T 83%
Baseline Plus ML OKST -5.3 (+4.7) 146.1 (+21.9) 69%
Model 4 ML OKST -6.7 (+3.3) 146.5 (+21.5) 72%
Model 3 ML OKST -5.6 (+4.4) 145.6 (+22.4) 71%
Baseline ML OKST -5.9 (+4.1) 145.0 (+23.0) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 23, 2026 WICH 9670 OKST
Dec 18, 2022 OKST 5949 WICH
Dec 2, 2021 WICH 6051 OKST
Dec 12, 2020 OKST 6764 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OKST WICH
Overall 17-18 19-15
Conference 7-13 8-10
Home 13-4 11-6
Away 3-10 5-7
Neutral 1-4 3-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.0 73.6
Avg Pts Against 76.3 73.1
Massey 4.3 (#100) 1.9 (#132)
Bradley-Terry 1.03 (#88) 0.40 (#134)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.32 (#86) 0.39 (#138)
RPI 0.494 (#184) 0.516 (#147)
Shooting & Four Factors OKST WICH
FG% 42.6% 44.5%
3PT% 32.5% 30.2%
REB / G 34.9 38.3
OREB / G 11.1 11.5
AST / TO 0.92 1.04
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 48.7%
TOV% 19.2% 16.4%
ORB% 31.0% 31.9%
FT Rate 30.1% 25.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 20.4% 15.7%
DRB% 70.6% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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