Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -280 MCN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +2 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -6.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.3 (-7.3) | 134.8 (+1.2) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.3 (-7.3) | 132.5 (+3.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -4.7 (-6.7) | 134.0 (+2.0) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -5.2 (-7.2) | 133.6 (+2.4) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 19-1 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 15.8 (#27) | 9.4 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#17) | 1.46 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#19) | 1.58 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.614 (#15) | 0.589 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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