Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KU -210 ARK +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARK +7 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | KU -3.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.3 (-9.3) | 145.4 (+5.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -2.5 (-9.5) | 146.1 (+4.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -1.5 (-8.5) | 146.1 (+4.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.6 (-9.6) | 145.7 (+5.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 18, 2023 | ARK 72 – 71 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#17) | 13.8 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#35) | 2.54 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.13 (#34) | 3.15 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#21) | 0.561 (#61) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | ARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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