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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
17–4 on winners
spread MAE 9.3
21 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida International
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+23.3 | 152.1 | 90% | 60–94 | ✓ |
Boston University
@
Dartmouth
|
-1.9 | 125.0 | 42% | 54–63 | ✗ |
North Alabama
@
Charleston Southern
|
-6.4 | 142.9 | 22% | 76–64 | ✓ |
App State
@
Queens University
|
-4.1 | 148.5 | 34% | 93–81 | ✓ |
Marshall
@
Toledo
|
+10.3 | 156.9 | 84% | 87–88 | ✓ |
Murray State
@
Mississippi State
|
+16.6 | 138.7 | 88% | 81–85 | ✓ |
UTSA
@
Little Rock
|
+5.7 | 161.2 | 74% | 84–93 | ✓ |
Chicago State
@
Northwestern
|
+20.6 | 135.7 | 89% | 75–73 | ✗ |
Longwood
@
Milwaukee
|
-6.0 | 143.5 | 29% | 80–67 | ✓ |
UAB
@
Alabama A&M
|
-6.8 | 152.8 | 23% | 93–82 | ✓ |
Arkansas State
@
Louisville
|
+2.2 | 150.8 | 66% | 75–63 | ✗ |
Alabama State
@
LSU
|
+11.2 | 147.2 | 85% | 56–74 | ✓ |
UNC Asheville
@
Auburn
|
+14.6 | 150.8 | 87% | 62–87 | ✓ |
Southern Miss
@
McNeese
|
+10.9 | 139.5 | 80% | 48–67 | ✓ |
Eastern Kentucky
@
Louisiana
|
+9.2 | 148.5 | 78% | 62–73 | ✓ |
Tennessee State
@
Liberty
|
+16.5 | 139.8 | 88% | 52–74 | ✓ |
Creighton
@
UNLV
|
-16.2 | 147.3 | 16% | 64–79 | ✗ |
Denver
@
BYU
|
+23.6 | 157.3 | 91% | 74–90 | ✓ |
Seattle U
@
San Francisco
|
+8.6 | 130.2 | 82% | 59–62 | ✓ |
Weber State
@
Nevada
|
+8.7 | 132.6 | 82% | 55–72 | ✓ |
Utah State
@
Santa Clara
|
-2.9 | 148.6 | 34% | 84–82 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.