Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | MCN -292 USM +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +19 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MCN -19.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-29.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -10.9 (+8.1) | 139.5 (-24.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -15.7 (+3.3) | 144.6 (-29.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -15.2 (+3.8) | 145.0 (-30.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -16.3 (+2.7) | 141.0 (-26.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | USM 86 – 67 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | USM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-4 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 9-9 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 11-3 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#46) | -4.9 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.72 (#54) | -0.36 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#47) | -0.88 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#42) | 0.429 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | USM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 11.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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