That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Buccaneer Fieldhouse · December 14, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -5.0 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money CHSO +180 / UNA -220
Model Predictions
Spread Total CHSO win
Actual UNA +12 140 Lost
Massey UNA -5.9 (-6.1)
Massey Totals 145.2 (-5.2)
Bradley-Terry 30%
Weighted B-T 11%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -5.8 (-6.2) 145.2 (-5.2) 29%
Baseline ML UNA -4.8 (-7.2) 144.7 (-4.7) 31%
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -5.4 (-6.6) 143.1 (-3.1) 33%
Efficiency Plus ML UNA -6.4 (-5.6) 142.9 (-2.9) 22%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2024 UNA 8669 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CHSO UNA
Overall 10-20 15-17
Conference 6-10 8-8
Home 7-7 10-4
Away 3-12 5-13
Neutral 0-1 0-0
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 64.0 74.8
Avg Pts Against 74.5 77.0
Massey -14.1 (#352) -3.4 (#234)
Bradley-Terry -2.62 (#337) -0.74 (#251)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.28 (#352) -0.98 (#251)
RPI 0.373 (#347) 0.436 (#277)
Shooting & Four Factors CHSO UNA
FG% 42.2% 41.7%
3PT% 31.1% 35.1%
REB / G 30.5 35.8
OREB / G 7.8 10.2
AST / TO 0.61 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 47.8%
TOV% 23.3% 17.8%
ORB% 24.6% 27.2%
FT Rate 27.9% 29.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 18.5%
DRB% 66.3% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 31.3% 30.3%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.