It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Flowers Hall · December 20, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread UNA -9.5 Home covered
O/U 148.5 Over
Money UNA -550 / CHSO +380
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNA win
Actual UNA +17 155 Won
Massey UNA -13.1 (+3.9)
Massey Totals 149.1 (+5.9)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 96%
Baseline Plus ML UNA -11.9 (+5.1) 143.5 (+11.5) 86%
Baseline ML UNA -12.5 (+4.5) 144.2 (+10.8) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML UNA -11.3 (+5.7) 145.0 (+10.0) 86%
Efficiency Plus ML UNA -9.5 (+7.5) 144.2 (+10.8) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 14, 2023 UNA 7664 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNA CHSO
Overall 24-11 10-22
Conference 14-4 6-10
Home 16-1 7-5
Away 7-10 3-14
Neutral 1-0 0-3
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L5
Avg Pts For 77.5 70.1
Avg Pts Against 71.0 78.8
Massey 1.4 (#138) -7.4 (#291)
Bradley-Terry -0.10 (#184) -1.58 (#308)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.09 (#172) -2.35 (#312)
RPI 0.485 (#197) 0.425 (#307)
Shooting & Four Factors UNA CHSO
FG% 44.0% 42.9%
3PT% 32.9% 30.8%
REB / G 34.0 36.5
OREB / G 10.7 11.6
AST / TO 1.18 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 49.1%
TOV% 14.3% 20.0%
ORB% 29.1% 30.9%
FT Rate 16.5% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 19.7% 12.9%
DRB% 70.5% 73.2%
Opp FT Rate 18.7% 20.8%

Game Analysis

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