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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
10–7 on winners
spread MAE 7.5
17 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penn State
@
Texas
|
+5.3 | 139.6 | 74% | 66–71 | ✓ |
Northwestern
@
UCLA
|
+5.9 | 126.3 | 78% | 63–68 | ✓ |
Maryland
@
Alabama
|
+6.1 | 142.2 | 72% | 51–73 | ✓ |
Cleveland State
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-0.2 | 144.5 | 49% | 75–91 | ✗ |
Liberty
@
Wisconsin
|
+3.7 | 131.9 | 63% | 71–75 | ✓ |
Pittsburgh
@
Xavier
|
+4.5 | 148.5 | 68% | 73–84 | ✓ |
Duquesne
@
Rice
|
-3.7 | 150.6 | 37% | 78–84 | ✗ |
Eastern Washington
@
Oklahoma State
|
+12.1 | 141.1 | 84% | 60–71 | ✓ |
Kentucky
@
Kansas State
|
-0.3 | 142.0 | 44% | 69–75 | ✗ |
Morehead State
@
UAB
|
+14.2 | 143.0 | 86% | 59–77 | ✓ |
Tarleton State
@
Radford
|
-0.4 | 128.6 | 43% | 70–72 | ✗ |
Sam Houston
@
North Texas
|
+5.3 | 117.3 | 72% | 55–75 | ✓ |
Michigan State
@
Marquette
|
+2.9 | 140.2 | 65% | 69–60 | ✗ |
Saint Mary's
@
UConn
|
+2.6 | 128.1 | 67% | 55–70 | ✓ |
Stetson
@
Milwaukee
|
-2.3 | 155.5 | 44% | 83–87 | ✗ |
Creighton
@
Baylor
|
+1.1 | 146.1 | 56% | 85–76 | ✗ |
UCF
@
Oregon
|
+4.6 | 134.0 | 68% | 54–68 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.