Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | KSU +148 UK -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +6 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -0.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -0.2 (+5.8) | 144.5 (-0.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UK -0.3 (+6.3) | 143.2 (+0.8) | 52% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | KSU -0.7 (+5.3) | 145.0 (-1.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -0.3 (+5.7) | 145.7 (-1.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 12-6 |
| Home | 16-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#23) | 12.4 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.57 (#15) | 2.17 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#20) | 2.69 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#41) | 0.577 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | UK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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