Betting Lines
| Spread | OKST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | OKST -550 EWU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OKST +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | OKST -11.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OKST -11.0 (-0.0) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OKST -12.1 (-1.1) | 141.1 (-10.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OKST -10.2 (+0.8) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OKST -11.1 (-0.1) | 142.5 (-11.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#39) | 2.9 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#44) | 0.69 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#39) | 0.83 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#75) | 0.530 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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