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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
11–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.7
15 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Florida Atlantic
@
Memphis
|
+0.3 | 149.0 | 47% | 66–65 | ✗ |
Montana State
@
Kansas State
|
+7.3 | 140.9 | 73% | 65–77 | ✓ |
Arizona State
@
TCU
|
+2.8 | 143.9 | 64% | 70–72 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Indiana
|
+2.3 | 143.0 | 56% | 60–71 | ✓ |
Indiana State
@
South Carolina Upstate
|
-9.2 | 144.7 | 20% | 67–62 | ✓ |
Michigan
@
Vanderbilt
|
+1.3 | 148.2 | 61% | 65–66 | ✓ |
Furman
@
San Diego State
|
+4.9 | 139.0 | 69% | 52–75 | ✓ |
Southern Utah
@
North Alabama
|
-7.4 | 153.4 | 20% | 72–50 | ✓ |
Cincinnati
@
Hofstra
|
+1.2 | 147.7 | 57% | 79–65 | ✗ |
Duke
@
Tennessee
|
+3.4 | 126.1 | 53% | 52–65 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Southern Indiana
|
-6.7 | 140.2 | 25% | 77–52 | ✓ |
Arkansas
@
Kansas
|
+2.5 | 141.4 | 64% | 72–71 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Western Carolina
|
-6.2 | 130.7 | 28% | 65–56 | ✓ |
Princeton
@
Missouri
|
+3.7 | 147.4 | 64% | 78–63 | ✗ |
Auburn
@
Houston
|
+7.0 | 127.0 | 78% | 64–81 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.