Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IU -200 KENT +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | IU -4.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -2.0 (+9.0) | 144.3 (-13.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -2.3 (+8.7) | 143.0 (-12.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -1.9 (+9.1) | 144.0 (-13.0) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -1.7 (+9.3) | 145.2 (-14.2) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 5-7 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#23) | 8.8 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.27 (#24) | 1.84 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.78 (#23) | 1.92 (#57) |
| RPI | 0.582 (#37) | 0.593 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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