Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Under |
| Money | SDSU -200 FUR +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +23 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -6.8 (+16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -5.8 (+17.2) | 141.1 (-14.1) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -4.9 (+18.1) | 139.0 (-12.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -5.5 (+17.5) | 139.3 (-12.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -5.7 (+17.3) | 140.2 (-13.2) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-7 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 8-2 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 9-4 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#21) | 6.3 (#89) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#11) | 1.15 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#16) | 1.22 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#5) | 0.564 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.