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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
4–4 on winners
spread MAE 8.3
8 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fairleigh Dickinson
@
Florida Atlantic
|
+14.9 | 148.4 | 87% | 70–78 | ✓ |
Miami
@
Indiana
|
+1.0 | 145.9 | 46% | 85–69 | ✗ |
Utah Valley
@
Colorado
|
+3.4 | 141.7 | 62% | 81–69 | ✗ |
TCU
@
Gonzaga
|
+3.1 | 155.2 | 72% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Indiana State
@
Eastern Kentucky
|
-4.3 | 151.0 | 36% | 88–89 | ✗ |
Southern Utah
@
Rice
|
-4.4 | 157.1 | 29% | 81–79 | ✓ |
San José State
@
Radford
|
-4.6 | 126.4 | 33% | 57–67 | ✗ |
Charlotte
@
Milwaukee
|
-6.7 | 140.8 | 25% | 76–65 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.