Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | RICE +170 SUU -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +2 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | SUU -6.4 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -4.6 (+2.6) | 160.2 (-0.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -4.4 (+2.4) | 157.1 (+2.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -5.5 (+3.5) | 160.0 (+0.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -5.7 (+3.7) | 161.0 (-1.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 79.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#210) | 4.3 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#137) | 0.92 (#101) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#155) | 0.90 (#108) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#164) | 0.542 (#90) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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