Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | BAY +110 CREI -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +9 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -0.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -2.7 (-11.7) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -0.4 (-8.6) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -0.7 (-8.3) | 147.3 (+13.7) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -0.5 (-9.5) | 145.7 (+15.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2025 | BAY 81 – 74 CREI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.0 (#12) | 15.0 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#11) | 1.98 (#35) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#11) | 2.70 (#26) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#15) | 0.578 (#42) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 14.5% |
Game Analysis
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