Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -6500 CREI +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +7 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -1.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -1.7 (+5.3) | 148.6 (+6.4) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -1.0 (+6.0) | 150.9 (+4.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -1.4 (+5.6) | 151.9 (+3.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -1.5 (+5.5) | 150.1 (+4.9) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 19, 2023 | CREI 85 – 76 BAY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 6.5 (#82) | 5.5 (#97) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#34) | 1.17 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#31) | 1.69 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.698 (#12) | 0.582 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 16.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 43.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 11.4% |
Game Analysis
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