Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–9 on winners spread MAE 10.2 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kent State @ Illinois State +7.2 150.3 71% 58–79 ✓
George Washington @ Utah Valley +2.8 153.3 63% 79–78 ✗
Dayton @ Bradley +0.2 143.5 33% 80–66 ✗
Sam Houston @ New Mexico +11.2 154.0 81% 83–107 ✓
Miami (OH) @ SMU +5.6 155.5 74% 89–79 ✗
Murray State @ Nevada +9.2 141.7 78% 75–89 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Colorado State +6.8 138.1 69% 69–64 ✗
UIC @ California +7.8 145.2 79% 73–91 ✓
TCU @ Ohio State +4.2 144.9 65% 66–64 ✗
Troy @ Nebraska +16.6 137.2 89% 47–76 ✓
South Florida @ Louisville +8.3 155.0 77% 79–83 ✓
High Point @ Wisconsin +9.6 159.9 84% 83–82 ✗
Siena @ Duke +28.9 135.2 91% 65–71 ✓
McNeese @ Vanderbilt +10.1 150.1 80% 68–78 ✓
North Dakota State @ Michigan State +14.4 143.7 89% 67–92 ✓
Hawai'i @ Arkansas +14.2 157.6 87% 78–97 ✓
VCU @ North Carolina +3.4 143.4 52% 82–78 ✗
Howard @ Michigan +27.9 147.8 90% 80–101 ✓
Texas A&M @ Saint Mary's +5.5 148.3 71% 63–50 ✗
Texas @ BYU +5.0 156.6 67% 79–71 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.