That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–1 on winners spread MAE 9.8 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Pennsylvania @ Illinois +21.0 151.5 90% 70–105 ✓
Saint Louis @ Georgia +2.6 168.7 66% 102–77 ✗
Idaho @ Houston +21.2 134.1 90% 47–78 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Gonzaga +21.6 149.4 91% 64–73 ✓
Santa Clara @ Kentucky +2.9 152.8 62% 84–89 ✓
Akron @ Texas Tech +9.2 150.3 79% 71–91 ✓
Long Island University @ Arizona +29.8 144.7 90% 58–92 ✓
Wright State @ Virginia +17.9 146.9 89% 73–82 ✓
Tennessee State @ Iowa State +24.7 142.6 90% 74–108 ✓
Hofstra @ Alabama +12.8 158.0 86% 70–90 ✓
Utah State @ Villanova -1.2 145.5 51% 86–76 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Tennessee +8.9 146.0 84% 56–78 ✓
Iowa @ Clemson -1.0 132.2 38% 67–61 ✓
Northern Iowa @ St. John's +12.0 132.8 82% 53–79 ✓
UCF @ UCLA +5.0 147.7 69% 71–75 ✓
Queens University @ Purdue +24.7 157.0 91% 71–104 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.