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Baseline — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
8–2 on winners
spread MAE 14.1
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prairie View A&M
@
Florida
|
+29.7 | 149.8 | 90% | 55–114 | ✓ |
California Baptist
@
Kansas
|
+12.6 | 135.2 | 86% | 60–68 | ✓ |
Missouri
@
Miami
|
+4.4 | 147.7 | 69% | 66–80 | ✓ |
Furman
@
UConn
|
+21.7 | 134.2 | 90% | 71–82 | ✓ |
Saint Louis
@
Michigan
|
+10.1 | 160.5 | 86% | 72–95 | ✓ |
Louisville
@
Michigan State
|
+0.2 | 150.7 | 43% | 69–77 | ✓ |
TCU
@
Duke
|
+14.1 | 138.6 | 87% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Texas A&M
@
Houston
|
+8.8 | 143.6 | 84% | 57–88 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
UNC Wilmington
|
+0.9 | 135.0 | 37% | 80–61 | ✗ |
Texas
@
Gonzaga
|
+9.6 | 145.3 | 82% | 74–68 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.