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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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13–6 on winners spread MAE 6.0 19 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Bradley +6.8 144.3 75% 62–71 ✓
Furman @ North Texas +9.0 132.6 76% 64–75 ✓
Northern Iowa @ SMU +10.7 140.3 82% 63–73 ✓
Xavier @ Texas +0.6 151.1 52% 86–80 ✗
Northern Colorado @ UC Irvine +10.2 150.0 82% 72–82 ✓
Utah Valley @ San Francisco +8.6 142.5 76% 70–79 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ San José State +0.0 140.2 43% 73–70 ✗
Creighton @ Louisville +3.5 144.5 60% 89–75 ✗
High Point @ Purdue +11.9 151.2 83% 63–75 ✓
Montana @ Wisconsin +15.9 148.5 89% 66–85 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Houston +25.9 128.7 90% 40–78 ✓
Alabama State @ Auburn +27.3 147.1 89% 63–83 ✓
McNeese @ Clemson +7.3 131.6 67% 69–67 ✗
VCU @ BYU +3.6 143.8 67% 71–80 ✓
Georgia @ Gonzaga +8.3 150.0 78% 68–89 ✓
Wofford @ Tennessee +18.1 136.1 90% 62–77 ✓
Arkansas @ Kansas +3.2 146.4 59% 79–72 ✗
Yale @ Texas A&M +8.8 142.8 83% 71–80 ✓
Drake @ Missouri +7.5 135.8 64% 67–57 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.