I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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14–2 on winners spread MAE 9.1 16 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Utah State @ UCLA +3.4 143.0 70% 47–72 ✓
Omaha @ St. John's +20.6 146.5 90% 53–83 ✓
UC San Diego @ Michigan +4.0 138.3 68% 65–68 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ Texas Tech +16.6 149.1 89% 72–82 ✓
Baylor @ Mississippi State -0.3 148.6 49% 75–72 ✓
Robert Morris @ Alabama +20.4 162.2 90% 81–90 ✓
Lipscomb @ Iowa State +14.8 142.9 87% 55–82 ✓
Colorado State @ Memphis +0.7 145.3 40% 78–70 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Duke +29.7 139.5 91% 49–93 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Saint Mary's +4.7 128.4 68% 56–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Ole Miss +0.4 151.3 58% 64–71 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Maryland +15.4 148.5 86% 49–81 ✓
Norfolk State @ Florida +22.9 154.3 91% 69–95 ✓
Troy @ Kentucky +13.9 149.9 85% 57–76 ✓
New Mexico @ Marquette +2.4 146.7 56% 75–66 ✗
Akron @ Arizona +13.9 164.5 86% 65–93 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.