Come on down and meet your maker. Come on down and take a stand. "The Stand" - The Alarm
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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9–2 on winners spread MAE 9.4 11 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ UConn +4.6 142.2 66% 59–67 ✓
Xavier @ Illinois +6.3 161.2 72% 73–86 ✓
Bryant @ Michigan State +19.2 149.5 90% 62–87 ✓
Liberty @ Oregon +7.2 140.7 74% 52–81 ✓
Dayton @ Chattanooga +0.3 155.4 46% 72–87 ✓
McNeese @ Purdue +7.3 140.2 80% 62–76 ✓
Bradley @ George Mason +4.4 133.0 54% 75–67 ✗
Arkansas @ St. John's +5.4 144.0 68% 75–66 ✗
Michigan @ Texas A&M -1.1 141.8 35% 91–79 ✓
Drake @ Texas Tech +8.2 132.0 78% 64–77 ✓
Creighton @ Auburn +9.9 151.8 86% 70–82 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.