Blood in the streets in the town of New Haven "Peace Frog" - The Doors
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–8 on winners spread MAE 8.2 20 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
New Mexico @ Fresno State -11.4 161.1 17% 103–89 ✓
Boise State @ Wyoming -2.3 138.2 41% 67–58 ✓
Morehead State @ Southern Indiana +2.7 144.3 59% 70–68 ✗
Utah State @ Nevada +1.4 142.9 62% 69–64 ✗
Miami @ Boston College -0.3 148.8 50% 68–78 ✗
Youngstown State @ IU Indianapolis -2.2 141.9 38% 77–61 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Northern Kentucky -0.2 146.2 50% 68–69 ✗
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +0.7 135.7 52% 68–66 ✗
VMI @ East Tennessee State +11.3 145.5 85% 69–84 ✓
Howard @ Yale +13.0 151.2 86% 65–93 ✓
Furman @ Western Carolina -13.0 137.1 15% 90–61 ✓
UConn @ DePaul -4.2 148.1 32% 81–68 ✓
California @ Pittsburgh +19.5 157.2 89% 74–86 ✓
Evansville @ Southern Illinois +8.5 137.0 77% 68–53 ✗
Rice @ Tulsa -3.9 140.3 36% 70–64 ✓
Drake @ UIC -4.1 133.1 42% 70–74 ✗
Chattanooga @ Mercer +1.0 152.8 60% 94–99 ✓
Stanford @ Clemson +7.6 146.0 80% 71–85 ✓
North Carolina @ Louisville +2.2 161.4 67% 70–83 ✓
Villanova @ Butler +2.7 146.6 61% 73–65 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.