See my tailor, he's called Simon, I know it's going to fit. "Sex & Drugs & Rock & Roll" - Ian Dury
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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11–7 on winners spread MAE 8.5 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Duke @ Virginia Tech +0.4 146.4 52% 77–67 ✗
Boston University @ Holy Cross -3.5 132.3 37% 63–65 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Delaware State -0.2 134.4 47% 69–66 ✓
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +12.4 143.8 86% 73–83 ✓
Howard @ Coppin State -6.4 135.6 28% 81–66 ✓
South Carolina State @ Maryland Eastern Shore +0.0 139.3 43% 63–53 ✗
Jackson State @ Florida A&M -4.3 144.4 32% 86–88 ✗
New Orleans @ Lamar +11.0 156.9 87% 73–98 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -2.8 139.0 39% 69–54 ✓
Northwestern State @ McNeese +20.8 145.9 91% 65–89 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -1.1 137.6 46% 80–58 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Grambling +6.4 144.9 60% 86–70 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Southern +16.6 134.8 91% 54–78 ✓
Alabama State @ Texas Southern +0.7 133.6 50% 55–56 ✓
Houston @ Texas -7.1 130.4 19% 76–72 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Prairie View A&M +7.1 145.5 77% 76–87 ✓
Alcorn State @ Bethune-Cookman +2.1 149.2 54% 70–67 ✗
South Carolina @ Tennessee +11.0 139.0 84% 63–59 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.