Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | DSU +105 NCCU -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -0.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -1.2 (-1.8) | 136.9 (-1.9) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -0.4 (-2.6) | 134.3 (+0.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -0.2 (-2.8) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -0.8 (-2.2) | 136.3 (-1.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#311) | -4.8 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#293) | -0.65 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#283) | -0.87 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.419 (#311) | 0.467 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.4% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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