You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Al Lawson Center · January 30, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread JKST -4.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money FAMU +155 / JKST -200
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAMU win
Actual FAMU +2 174 Won
Massey JKST -4.0 (+6.0)
Massey Totals 146.6 (+27.4)
Bradley-Terry 17%
Weighted B-T 15%
Efficiency Plus ML JKST -5.0 (+7.0) 143.3 (+30.7) 27%
Baseline Tuned ML JKST -4.3 (+6.3) 142.9 (+31.1) 28%
Baseline ML JKST -4.3 (+6.3) 144.4 (+29.6) 32%
Baseline Plus ML JKST -4.1 (+6.1) 143.4 (+30.6) 30%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 FAMU 7060 JKST
Feb 14, 2026 JKST 8060 FAMU
Jan 27, 2026 JKST 6665 FAMU
Mar 13, 2025 JKST 9176 FAMU
Feb 15, 2025 FAMU 7671 JKST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAMU JKST
Overall 6-23 15-17
Conference 4-14 11-7
Home 4-8 6-2
Away 2-15 7-13
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 1-4 3-2
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 65.0 71.2
Avg Pts Against 76.7 75.6
Massey -13.7 (#345) -6.0 (#278)
Bradley-Terry -2.57 (#348) -0.34 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.30 (#349) -0.86 (#246)
RPI 0.422 (#304) 0.485 (#200)
Shooting & Four Factors FAMU JKST
FG% 41.7% 40.8%
3PT% 36.7% 32.2%
REB / G 32.7 36.8
OREB / G 9.7 12.9
AST / TO 0.96 0.89
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 46.4%
TOV% 20.3% 20.4%
ORB% 26.7% 33.1%
FT Rate 16.6% 24.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 57.2% 52.1%
Opp TOV% 15.7% 19.0%
DRB% 69.3% 66.9%
Opp FT Rate 28.7% 26.9%

Game Analysis

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