Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -167 ALCN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -3.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -1.3 (-4.3) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -1.7 (-4.7) | 147.7 (-10.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -2.1 (-5.1) | 149.2 (-12.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -1.4 (-4.4) | 148.1 (-11.1) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ALCN 57 – 55 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2026 | BCU 82 – 73 ALCN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | BCU 69 – 60 ALCN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | ALCN 78 – 74 BCU |
| Jan 27, 2025 | ALCN 70 – 61 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-14 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#325) | -10.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#296) | -1.50 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#300) | -2.00 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#316) | 0.434 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.6% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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