The name is Big Daddy, yes big not little. "Ain't No Half Steppin'" - Big Daddy Kane
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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12–6 on winners spread MAE 8.1 18 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Peter's @ Murray State +6.4 131.6 72% 70–60 ✗
New Mexico State @ Arkansas +4.1 140.3 67% 48–53 ✓
Northern Iowa @ BYU +7.7 150.3 79% 71–90 ✓
Memphis @ Gonzaga +7.7 153.8 77% 78–82 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ Portland +6.8 153.4 78% 73–94 ✓
VMI @ UNC Wilmington +0.2 149.6 54% 78–93 ✓
Houston @ Illinois -5.1 131.9 26% 68–53 ✓
Florida @ Xavier +4.5 148.6 66% 56–72 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Northern Colorado -5.0 152.2 31% 71–74 ✗
Ohio State @ Villanova +5.1 131.7 68% 61–71 ✓
Washington State @ SMU +4.0 137.8 60% 75–63 ✗
Dayton @ Vanderbilt +3.5 134.7 54% 68–70 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Boston University -2.0 133.4 43% 68–71 ✗
Michigan State @ Duke +4.6 146.0 67% 76–85 ✓
Virginia @ North Texas +6.0 121.9 56% 71–69 ✗
Iowa State @ Wisconsin +0.8 127.1 51% 54–49 ✗
Notre Dame @ Texas Tech +6.9 136.9 73% 53–59 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Troy -3.2 137.3 31% 82–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.