Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VILL -230 OSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +10 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -5.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -5.1 (+4.9) | 131.1 (+0.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | VILL -6.8 (+3.2) | 131.7 (+0.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | VILL -5.6 (+4.4) | 133.4 (-1.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -5.5 (+4.5) | 131.8 (+0.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 8-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 17.2 (#13) | 12.2 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.44 (#4) | 2.23 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.97 (#6) | 2.76 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#4) | 0.585 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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