Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -190 ISU +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +5 | 103 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -0.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -0.9 (-5.9) | 126.9 (-23.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -2.0 (-7.0) | 125.9 (-22.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -1.3 (-6.3) | 127.5 (-24.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -0.8 (-5.8) | 127.1 (-24.1) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-5 |
| Away | 9-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#35) | 10.5 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.12 (#12) | 2.40 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.56 (#16) | 2.86 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#14) | 0.538 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 24.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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