Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
| Money | BYU -210 UNI +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -5.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -9.6 (+9.4) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -8.3 (+10.7) | 149.2 (+11.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -7.7 (+11.3) | 150.3 (+10.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -7.2 (+11.8) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-3 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#58) | 6.3 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#55) | 0.96 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#48) | 1.27 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#43) | 0.567 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 77.6% | 78.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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