Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | VAN -165 DAY +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -2.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -1.3 (+0.7) | 133.3 (+4.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -2.4 (-0.4) | 133.6 (+4.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -3.5 (-1.5) | 134.7 (+3.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -2.7 (-0.7) | 133.6 (+4.4) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 61.2 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#59) | 9.8 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#76) | 1.55 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.59 (#79) | 2.04 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#82) | 0.570 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.