In North Carolina way back in the hills, there lived my pappy and he had him a still. "White Lightning" - The Big Bopper
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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19–4 on winners spread MAE 8.2 23 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Virginia +34.2 133.1 91% 60–84 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Kentucky +33.9 141.4 91% 67–103 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Howard -3.2 140.6 36% 69–73 ✗
Coppin State @ Saint Joseph's +17.2 144.9 89% 65–87 ✓
South Dakota State @ Ball State -6.6 133.2 22% 68–64 ✓
Little Rock @ West Virginia +23.0 131.6 90% 58–90 ✓
Columbia @ Stony Brook -2.8 139.4 43% 73–77 ✗
McNeese @ Rhode Island +0.9 139.7 54% 66–64 ✗
Bucknell @ Rider -0.5 133.6 41% 51–38 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State -0.2 151.7 55% 88–80 ✓
Brown @ Providence +14.4 147.0 85% 79–86 ✓
Morgan State @ DePaul +15.6 147.1 86% 49–92 ✓
Penn State @ Indiana +13.3 147.3 83% 72–113 ✓
South Dakota @ Wyoming +21.2 155.2 89% 79–106 ✓
USC @ San Diego -9.6 156.1 16% 94–81 ✓
Dartmouth @ Colorado State +19.3 148.8 89% 55–76 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Arizona State +14.1 149.7 86% 48–73 ✓
Florida @ UConn +5.1 141.2 65% 73–77 ✓
Long Beach State @ San José State +6.6 134.9 73% 83–89 ✓
Norfolk State @ Baylor +14.0 144.7 86% 67–97 ✓
UAlbany @ Yale +24.1 141.7 90% 82–93 ✓
Merrimack @ Princeton +3.2 132.9 60% 59–56 ✗
Miami (OH) @ UNC Asheville -1.7 148.3 40% 90–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.