Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -1350 SDAK +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +27 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -22.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (+22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -21.2 (+5.8) | 155.2 (+29.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WYO -16.4 (+10.6) | 157.5 (+27.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WYO -18.1 (+8.9) | 152.5 (+32.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -20.1 (+6.9) | 153.2 (+31.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | SDAK 82 – 81 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 81.7 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#51) | -6.3 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#96) | -1.29 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#103) | -1.36 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#107) | 0.421 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 39.3% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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