Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -130 MRMK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +3 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -5.5 (-8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -2.9 (-5.9) | 135.2 (-20.2) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -2.6 (-5.6) | 132.2 (-17.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -3.0 (-6.0) | 132.6 (-17.6) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -3.2 (-6.2) | 132.9 (-17.9) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2024 | PRIN 68 – 57 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-4 | 11-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#280) | -7.7 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.02 (#317) | -0.28 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#304) | -0.60 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#326) | 0.446 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 38.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 27.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 56.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.7% | 29.2% |
Game Analysis
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