Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK +210 PRIN -260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +11 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -9.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.9 (-11.9) | 131.2 (-6.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -5.3 (-16.3) | 132.2 (-7.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.3 (-16.3) | 130.0 (-5.0) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -3.2 (-14.2) | 130.8 (-5.8) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2025 | MRMK 59 – 56 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 19-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 8-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#172) | -1.9 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#131) | 2.07 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#133) | 3.92 (#15) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#98) | 0.603 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | PRIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.6% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 24.3% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 6.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.32 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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