Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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17–8 on winners spread MAE 10.9 26 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Coppin State @ UMBC +5.9 135.7 49% 67–92 ✓
Stonehill @ Robert Morris +8.5 142.2 82% 51–63 ✓
South Carolina State @ Jacksonville +6.3 141.9 75% 62–71 ✓
Bryant @ Buffalo +10.6 157.5 77% 87–64 ✗
Nicholls @ Northern Kentucky +3.4 137.4 48% 61–59 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Wichita State +19.7 155.9 88% 73–79 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Missouri — — — 39–111 —
Morehead State @ Chattanooga +11.0 129.3 81% 62–76 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Oklahoma State +19.0 151.8 87% 78–85 ✓
Northern Colorado @ South Dakota State +0.7 157.0 43% 78–69 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Arizona State +6.6 145.0 75% 76–87 ✓
LSU @ Kansas State +5.7 144.6 67% 76–65 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ New Mexico State +16.3 144.3 88% 82–83 ✓
Seattle U @ Cal Poly +4.8 149.0 68% 71–75 ✓
Omaha @ UNLV +2.9 150.4 65% 69–80 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Pacific +8.9 140.7 78% 60–57 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Charleston Southern -0.7 153.0 46% 86–76 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ VMI +4.7 144.4 69% 72–71 ✗
New Orleans @ Stonehill +0.0 140.3 37% 54–80 ✓
Holy Cross @ Sacred Heart -1.0 143.6 47% 82–75 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Western Michigan +5.1 137.5 64% 79–60 ✗
William & Mary @ Winthrop +9.2 140.0 78% 85–86 ✓
Virginia @ Villanova +0.1 133.8 53% 70–60 ✗
Florida @ Florida State -0.5 144.1 35% 87–74 ✓
TCU @ Michigan +7.9 144.3 74% 64–76 ✓
Monmouth @ Rutgers +22.8 145.6 89% 81–98 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.