Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CP +160 SEA -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | CP -12.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -2.8 (+1.2) | 146.4 (-0.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -6.1 (-2.1) | 149.6 (-3.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -7.3 (-3.3) | 152.4 (-6.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -4.8 (-0.8) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | CP 73 – 71 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#148) | -1.7 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#253) | -1.88 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#250) | -2.38 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#176) | 0.312 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 49.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 47.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 28.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 57.6% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 61.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 79.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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