Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | SEA -650 CP +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -20.0 (-22.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -14.3 (-16.3) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -18.0 (-20.0) | 147.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | CP 75 – 71 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 85.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#159) | -5.2 (#263) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#138) | -0.42 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#137) | -0.64 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#76) | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 42.1% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 17.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 39.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 26.6% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 37.3% | 9.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.1% | 42.9% |
Game Analysis
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