Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | JAX -285 SCST +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +9 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -13.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -6.3 (+2.7) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -8.3 (+0.7) | 142.0 (-9.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -6.7 (+2.3) | 142.4 (-9.4) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2023 | SCST 86 – 85 JAX |
| Dec 13, 2020 | JAX 60 – 58 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JAX | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#158) | -3.8 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#199) | -0.95 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#197) | -1.45 (#285) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#94) | 0.333 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JAX | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 35.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 18.8% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.4% | 38.1% |
| TOV% | 22.7% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 13.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.