Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.0 Over |
| Money | SCST +180 JAX -220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +1 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -1.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -0.1 (+1.1) | 149.0 (+22.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -0.5 (+1.5) | 147.9 (+23.1) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -0.3 (+0.7) | 146.8 (+24.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -0.9 (+0.1) | 146.9 (+24.1) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | JAX 71 – 62 SCST |
| Dec 13, 2020 | JAX 60 – 58 SCST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 74.6 |
| Massey | -12.6 (#342) | -9.2 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#344) | 0.43 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.73 (#342) | 0.15 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.352 (#355) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.1% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.1% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.8% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.